Crime in Arlington, Virginia
Major crime in Arlington is 9% above the U.S. rate per resident: 19% lower for persons crimes and 15% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.3% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Weapons violations stand out most, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Arlington for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Arlington
The middle half of Arlington residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 42 and 104; the typical (median) resident's is 63. The citywide figure (109) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5036.2%
- 50–10036.8%
- 100–20018.0%
- 200–4007.4%
- 400+1.5%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 12.3% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Arlington against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents
134 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Arlington; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Arlington has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Seven Corners (2 mi), is 2.8 times Arlington's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Arlington
What are the most common crimes in Arlington?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 1,680 a year), shoplifting (about 1,362 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 624 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Arlington's figures add up its 204 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Arlington's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 26.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 248,135. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Arlington, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/arlington
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Seven Corners2 mi301
- Bailey's Crossroads2 mi193
- Lake Barcroft3 mi36
- Alexandria4 mi85
- Falls Church4 mi84
- West Falls Church5 mi70
- Lincolnia5 mi104
- Washington, DC5 mi180