CrimeMetric

Crime in Louisville/Jefferson County, Kentucky

Major crime in Louisville/Jefferson County is 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident: 35% higher for persons crimes and 2.0 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 5.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
190
1.9 times the U.S. rate
2.2 times the Kentucky rate
down 5.0% in a year
Persons crimes
135
35% above the U.S. rate
2.1 times the Kentucky rate
down 10.9% in a year
Property crimes
202
2.0 times the U.S. rate
2.2 times the Kentucky rate
down 4.1% in a year
Social disorder
105
5% above the U.S. rate
6% above the Kentucky rate
down 7.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 2.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Louisville/Jefferson County for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery121213

Property crimes

Shoplifting1942,532
Burglary1771,187

How crime varies across Louisville/Jefferson County

The middle half of Louisville/Jefferson County residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 86 and 213; the typical (median) resident's is 140. The citywide figure (190) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Louisville/Jefferson County, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–504.5%
  • 50–10026.5%
  • 100–20041.2%
  • 200–40019.6%
  • 400+8.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm176
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am203
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm184
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am208
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 5.0% in a year; across Kentucky it fell 5.9%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-5.0%KY -5.9%-12.3%KY -12.3%
Persons crimes-10.9%KY -9.7%-1.5%KY -1.4%
Property crimes-4.1%KY -5.3%-13.9%KY -14.0%
Social disorder-7.6%KY -5.8%-6.0%KY -7.2%

Change in expected crimes, with Kentucky as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Louisville/Jefferson County against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents

15 of the 53 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Louisville/Jefferson County; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:

Minneapolis, MN432,807361
Oakland, CA443,222361
Wichita, KS406,088274
Tulsa, OK419,432224
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY410,198190
Long Beach, CA447,681178
Aurora, CO410,284166
Bakersfield, CA419,241165
Arlington, TX409,726120
Tampa, FL413,78566

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Louisville/Jefferson County has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Louisville (5 mi), is 1.8 times Louisville/Jefferson County's rate.

Louisville5 mi342
Louisville/Jefferson County190
Shively8 mi165
Middletown9 mi160
Lyndon8 mi129
Hillview7 mi71

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Louisville/Jefferson County

What are the most common crimes in Louisville/Jefferson County?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 3,668 a year), theft from vehicle (about 2,724 a year) and shoplifting (about 2,532 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 2.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Louisville/Jefferson County's figures add up its 274 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Louisville/Jefferson County has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 79.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 410,198. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Louisville/Jefferson County, Kentucky." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ky/louisville-jefferson-county

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100