CrimeMetric

Crime in Scottsdale, Arizona

Major crime in Scottsdale is 7% above the U.S. rate per resident: 42% lower for persons crimes and 17% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
107
7% above the U.S. rate
about the Arizona rate
down 7.3% in a year
Persons crimes
58
42% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Arizona rate
up 1.8% in a year
Property crimes
117
17% above the U.S. rate
15% above the Arizona rate
down 8.2% in a year
Social disorder
101
about the U.S. rate
13% below the Arizona rate
down 3.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Scottsdale

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 1.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Scottsdale for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Property crimes

Shoplifting1781,389

How crime varies across Scottsdale

The middle half of Scottsdale residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 38 and 104; the typical (median) resident's is 66. The citywide figure (107) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Scottsdale, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5038.9%
  • 50–10033.8%
  • 100–20017.6%
  • 200–4005.5%
  • 400+4.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm103
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am96
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm121
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am126
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.3% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.3%AZ -3.2%-13.8%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes+1.8%AZ +2.1%-1.0%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-8.2%AZ -4.5%-15.2%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-3.4%AZ -0.6%-7.5%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Scottsdale against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

141 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Scottsdale; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Louisville, KY241,003342
Richmond, VA239,878225
Huntsville, AL244,400132
Arlington, VA248,135109
Scottsdale, AZ245,658107
Frisco, TX248,88349
McKinney, TX246,53445

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Scottsdale has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Paradise Valley (5 mi), is 61% below Scottsdale's rate.

Tempe14 mi202
Phoenix12 mi153
Glendale18 mi143
Guadalupe16 mi110
Scottsdale107
Mesa15 mi83
Cave Creek18 mi73

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Scottsdale

What are the most common crimes in Scottsdale?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 1,423 a year), shoplifting (about 1,389 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 607 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Scottsdale's figures add up its 174 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Scottsdale has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 40.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 245,658. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Scottsdale, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/scottsdale

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100