CrimeMetric

Crime in Boston, Massachusetts

Major crime in Boston is 46% above the U.S. rate per resident: 1.9 times for persons crimes and 37% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.

How we did this

We start from police agencies' crime reports to the FBI (estimated where an agency doesn't report), model how they spread across the census block groups each agency serves, then add up Boston's 580 block groups. Numbers are estimates with a range of uncertainty, not counts of individual incidents.

Rates are per resident, so areas where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can look high. More on the method

Major crime
146
46% above the U.S. rate
2.0 times the Massachusetts rate
about flat in a year
Persons crimes
190
1.9 times the U.S. rate
2.0 times the Massachusetts rate
up 1.3% in a year
Property crimes
137
37% above the U.S. rate
2.0 times the Massachusetts rate
about flat in a year
Social disorder
149
49% above the U.S. rate
2.2 times the Massachusetts rate
up 1.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Crime by type

Intimidation is highest, at 3.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Boston for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery257751
Murder6415

Property crimes

Shoplifting2144,619
Burglary931,033

Social disorder

Intimidation3044,715
Trespassing1492,378
Vandalism1464,063

How crime varies across Boston

Half of Boston residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 69 and 154, and half live where it is below 100. The citywide figure (146) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Boston, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Census block groups shaded by their band of major-crime index per resident, the same bands as the bar below. Pale gray areas have fewer than 100 residents, so no index is published. Gray lines are major highways. Boundaries and roads: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5010.3%
  • 50–10039.7%
  • 100–20032.9%
  • 200–40013.4%
  • 400+3.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm153
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am133
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm158
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am144

Trend and outlook

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+0.3%-12.8%
Persons crimes+1.3%-4.1%
Property crimes+0.1%-15.5%
Social disorder+1.4%-5.1%

Change in expected crimes. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Boston against U.S. places with 500,000 to 1 million residents

22 of the 25 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Boston; the middle of the group is 190. The 9 nearest in population:

Portland, OR632,319343
Detroit, MI656,201305
Denver, CO748,860273
Memphis, TN614,042266
Washington, DC706,013180
Boston, MA680,418146
Las Vegas, NV688,656141
El Paso, TX687,70583

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Boston's figures add up its 580 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Boston has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 59.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 680,418. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Boston, Massachusetts." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ma/boston

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Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100