CrimeMetric

Crime in Nashville-Davidson, Tennessee

Major crime in Nashville-Davidson is 2.2 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.4 times for persons crimes and 2.2 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 20.4% from a year earlier.

How we did this

We start from police agencies' crime reports to the FBI (estimated where an agency doesn't report), model how they spread across the census block groups each agency serves, then add up Nashville-Davidson's 467 block groups. Numbers are estimates with a range of uncertainty, not counts of individual incidents.

Rates are per resident, so areas where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can look high. More on the method

Major crime
223
2.2 times the U.S. rate
2.3 times the Tennessee rate
down 20.4% in a year
Persons crimes
244
2.4 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the Tennessee rate
down 20.6% in a year
Property crimes
219
2.2 times the U.S. rate
2.4 times the Tennessee rate
down 20.3% in a year
Social disorder
163
1.6 times the U.S. rate
25% above the Tennessee rate
down 20.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Crime by type

Theft from vehicle is highest, at 3.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Nashville-Davidson for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Aggravated assault2644,441
Rape / sexual assault209512
Robbery174546
Murder16643

Property crimes

Theft from vehicle3657,073
Shoplifting2265,266
Motor vehicle theft2112,456
Burglary1952,334
Other larceny1475,368

Social disorder

Weapons violations3262,373
Intimidation2464,108
Trespassing1662,840
Disorderly conduct1661,442
Simple assault1658,792
Vandalism1434,293
Drugs and alcohol1013,688

How crime varies across Nashville-Davidson

Half of Nashville-Davidson residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 59 and 258, and half live where it is below 113. The citywide figure (223) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Nashville-Davidson, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Census block groups shaded by their band of major-crime index per resident, the same bands as the bar below. Pale gray areas have fewer than 100 residents, so no index is published. Gray lines are major highways. Boundaries and roads: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5019.7%
  • 50–10024.2%
  • 100–20023.0%
  • 200–40018.7%
  • 400+14.3%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm192
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am235
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm215
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am300

Trend and outlook

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-20.4%-8.8%
Persons crimes-20.6%+2.3%
Property crimes-20.3%-11.6%
Social disorder-20.3%-2.0%

Change in expected crimes. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Nashville-Davidson against U.S. places with 500,000 to 1 million residents

8 of the 25 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Nashville-Davidson; the middle of the group is 190. The 9 nearest in population:

Portland, OR632,319343
Seattle, WA797,520311
Detroit, MI656,201305
Denver, CO748,860273
Nashville-Davidson, TN732,049223
Oklahoma City, OK722,104189
Washington, DC706,013180
Boston, MA680,418146
Las Vegas, NV688,656141
El Paso, TX687,70583

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Nashville-Davidson's figures add up its 467 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Nashville-Davidson's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 70.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 732,049. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Nashville-Davidson, Tennessee." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tn/nashville-davidson

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Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100