CrimeMetric

Crime in Washington, District of Columbia

Major crime in Washington is 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.5 times for persons crimes and 1.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 20.2% from a year earlier.

How we did this

We start from police agencies' crime reports to the FBI (estimated where an agency doesn't report), model how they spread across the census block groups each agency serves, then add up Washington's 571 block groups. Numbers are estimates with a range of uncertainty, not counts of individual incidents.

Rates are per resident, so areas where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can look high. More on the method

Major crime
180
1.8 times the U.S. rate
down 20.2% in a year
Persons crimes
254
2.5 times the U.S. rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
164
1.6 times the U.S. rate
down 25.3% in a year
Social disorder
264
2.6 times the U.S. rate
down 3.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Crime by type

Robbery is highest, at 5.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Washington for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery5941,799
Murder31880

Property crimes

Shoplifting1673,753
Burglary901,042

Social disorder

Intimidation3876,220
Vandalism3149,087
Trespassing2233,686

How crime varies across Washington

Half of Washington residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 96 and 193, and half live where it is below 138. The citywide figure (180) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Washington, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Census block groups shaded by their band of major-crime index per resident, the same bands as the bar below. Pale gray areas have fewer than 100 residents, so no index is published. Gray lines are major highways. Boundaries and roads: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–503.0%
  • 50–10024.0%
  • 100–20049.4%
  • 200–40019.5%
  • 400+4.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm175
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am175
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm174
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am213

Trend and outlook

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-20.2%-9.8%
Persons crimes-0.5%-5.9%
Property crimes-25.3%-11.1%
Social disorder-3.9%-2.7%

Change in expected crimes. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Washington against U.S. places with 500,000 to 1 million residents

16 of the 25 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Washington; the middle of the group is 190. The 9 nearest in population:

Portland, OR632,319343
Seattle, WA797,520311
Detroit, MI656,201305
Denver, CO748,860273
Washington, DC706,013180
Boston, MA680,418146
Las Vegas, NV688,656141
El Paso, TX687,70583

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Washington's figures add up its 571 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Washington's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 81.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 706,013. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Washington, District of Columbia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/dc/washington

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Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100