CrimeMetric

Crime in El Paso, Texas

Major crime in El Paso is 18% below the U.S. rate per resident: 15% lower for persons crimes and 18% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.4% from a year earlier.

How we did this

We start from police agencies' crime reports to the FBI (estimated where an agency doesn't report), model how they spread across the census block groups each agency serves, then add up El Paso's 485 block groups. Numbers are estimates with a range of uncertainty, not counts of individual incidents.

Rates are per resident, so areas where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can look high. More on the method

Major crime
83
18% below the U.S. rate
26% below the Texas rate
down 13.4% in a year
Persons crimes
86
15% below the U.S. rate
15% below the Texas rate
down 8.4% in a year
Property crimes
82
18% below the U.S. rate
29% below the Texas rate
down 14.4% in a year
Social disorder
108
8% above the U.S. rate
about the Texas rate
down 12.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault is highest, at 30% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in El Paso for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Rape / sexual assault130299
Aggravated assault841,336
Murder6817
Robbery58172

Property crimes

Shoplifting922,019
Other larceny923,172
Motor vehicle theft91993
Theft from vehicle601,094
Burglary56635

Social disorder

Simple assault1155,774
Intimidation1131,770
Disorderly conduct108883
Trespassing1081,735
Drugs and alcohol1073,644
Vandalism1052,958
Weapons violations55379

How crime varies across El Paso

Half of El Paso residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 35 and 91, and half live where it is below 54. The citywide figure (83) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of El Paso, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Census block groups shaded by their band of major-crime index per resident, the same bands as the bar below. Pale gray areas have fewer than 100 residents, so no index is published. Gray lines are major highways. Boundaries and roads: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5044.3%
  • 50–10033.5%
  • 100–20015.7%
  • 200–4004.8%
  • 400+1.7%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm85
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am82
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm70
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am91

Trend and outlook

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-13.4%-12.2%
Persons crimes-8.4%-1.9%
Property crimes-14.4%-14.6%
Social disorder-12.4%-7.3%

Change in expected crimes. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

El Paso against U.S. places with 500,000 to 1 million residents

25 of the 25 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than El Paso; the middle of the group is 190. The 9 nearest in population:

Portland, OR632,319343
Detroit, MI656,201305
Denver, CO748,860273
Memphis, TN614,042266
Nashville-Davidson, TN732,049223
Oklahoma City, OK722,104189
Washington, DC706,013180
Boston, MA680,418146
Las Vegas, NV688,656141
El Paso, TX687,70583

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. El Paso's figures add up its 485 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • El Paso has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 68.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 687,705. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in El Paso, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/el-paso

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Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100