Crime in Lincoln, Michigan
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Lincoln at 55% below the U.S. rate per resident: 68% lower for persons crimes and 51% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.8% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Lincoln. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 7.8 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (1.0 violent, 6.8 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Lincoln is lower than 56% of the 343 other Michigan places and 65% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Lincoln's 9 census block groups for 14,825 residents. How Michigan residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 97.5%, summary counts only for 0.6% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 1.9% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Lincoln.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Lincoln
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 26 and 54.
- 0–5063.0%
- 50–10037.0%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Lincoln
Every crime type in Lincoln is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekend daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 7.8% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Michigan in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Lincoln against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,573 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Lincoln's, and 361 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Lincoln has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Fair Plain (5 mi), is 10.0 times Lincoln's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Lincoln
Is Lincoln safe?
Lincoln's major-crime index is 46, 55% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 56% of the 343 other Michigan places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 68% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 51% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Lincoln?
The model expects about 116 major crimes a year in Lincoln, about 7.8 per 1,000 residents, 55% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Lincoln?
Expected major crimes in Lincoln are down 7.8% from a year earlier; across Michigan they're down 6.1%.
What are the most common crimes in Lincoln?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 36 a year), shoplifting (about 35 a year) and burglary (about 13 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Lincoln?
The model expects about 13 thefts from vehicles a year in Lincoln, 68% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Lincoln?
The model expects about 4 motor vehicle thefts a year in Lincoln, 83% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Lincoln safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 34 on Friday and Saturday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 64 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Lincoln higher than the Michigan average?
Lincoln's major-crime index is 46, 51% below the Michigan rate per resident. Michigan as a whole is 93, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Lincoln compare with Fair Plain?
Fair Plain, 5 miles away, has a major-crime index of 455, 10.0 times Lincoln's rate per resident. Lincoln's is 46.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lincoln's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lincoln has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 14,825. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lincoln, Michigan." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/mi/lincoln
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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