CrimeMetric

Crime in Niagara Falls, New York

Major crime in Niagara Falls is 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.6 times for persons crimes and 1.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
170
1.7 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the New York rate
down 12.1% in a year
Persons crimes
159
1.6 times the U.S. rate
45% above the New York rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
173
1.7 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the New York rate
down 14.1% in a year
Social disorder
187
1.9 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the New York rate
down 3.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 4.3 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Niagara Falls for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Niagara Falls

The middle half of Niagara Falls residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 78 and 196; the typical (median) resident's is 125. The citywide figure (170) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Niagara Falls, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–503.9%
  • 50–10035.3%
  • 100–20038.1%
  • 200–40017.4%
  • 400+5.3%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

About the same at every time of week

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm171
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am170
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm174
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am166
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 12.1% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-12.1%NY -8.7%-17.4%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-0.7%NY -7.0%-7.7%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-14.1%NY -9.0%-19.4%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-3.6%NY -5.2%-10.1%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Niagara Falls against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

93 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Niagara Falls; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Roseville, MI47,032210
Niagara Falls, NY47,071170
Moorhead, MN46,990121
Bremerton, WA46,982119
Mentor, OH47,13962

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Niagara Falls has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lewiston (6 mi), is 16% above Niagara Falls's rate.

Buffalo15 mi260
Lewiston6 mi198
Niagara Falls170
Eggertsville14 mi146
Kenmore12 mi84
Tonawanda9 mi78

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Niagara Falls

What are the most common crimes in Niagara Falls?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 512 a year), shoplifting (about 231 a year) and aggravated assault (about 184 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 4.3 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Niagara Falls's figures add up its 58 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Niagara Falls has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 39.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 47,071. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Niagara Falls, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/niagara-falls

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100