Crime in Gainesville, Virginia
Major crime in Gainesville is 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 14% lower for persons crimes and 1.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 19.7% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 4.6 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Gainesville for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Gainesville
The middle half of Gainesville residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 34 and 108; the typical (median) resident's is 74. The citywide figure (156) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5026.8%
- 50–10042.7%
- 100–20023.4%
- 200–4007.1%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 19.7% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Gainesville against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
243 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Gainesville; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Gainesville has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Linton Hall (4 mi), is 75% below Gainesville's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Gainesville
What are the most common crimes in Gainesville?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 296 a year), other larceny (about 65 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 64 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 4.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Gainesville's figures add up its 11 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Gainesville has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 72.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 20,177. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Gainesville, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/gainesville
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Linton Hall4 mi39
- Bull Run6 mi177
- Sudley7 mi94
- Loch Lomond8 mi49
- Bull Run9 mi24
- Manassas9 mi86
- Yorkshire10 mi112
- Manassas Park10 mi35