Crime in Lake Barcroft, Virginia
Major crime in Lake Barcroft is 64% below the U.S. rate per resident: 78% lower for persons crimes and 61% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 17.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Every crime type in Lake Barcroft is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Lake Barcroft for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Lake Barcroft
The middle half of Lake Barcroft residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 25 and 46; the typical (median) resident's is 39.
- 0–5088.4%
- 50–10011.6%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 17.6% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Lake Barcroft against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,844 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake Barcroft; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Lake Barcroft has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Seven Corners (1 mi), is 8.4 times Lake Barcroft's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Lake Barcroft
What are the most common crimes in Lake Barcroft?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 23 a year), theft from vehicle (about 16 a year) and shoplifting (about 8 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 35% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake Barcroft's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lake Barcroft's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 10,185. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake Barcroft, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/lake-barcroft
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Seven Corners1 mi301
- Bailey's Crossroads2 mi193
- West Falls Church2 mi70
- Falls Church2 mi84
- Lincolnia3 mi104
- Annandale3 mi71
- Arlington3 mi109
- Idylwood4 mi51