CrimeMetric

Crime in Burke, Virginia

Major crime in Burke is 69% below the U.S. rate per resident: 84% lower for persons crimes and 66% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
31
69% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Virginia rate
down 16.8% in a year
Persons crimes
16
84% below the U.S. rate
75% below the Virginia rate
down 11.4% in a year
Property crimes
34
66% below the U.S. rate
62% below the Virginia rate
down 17.3% in a year
Social disorder
33
67% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Virginia rate
down 15.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Burke

Crime by type

Every crime type in Burke is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Burke for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Burke

The middle half of Burke residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 17 and 34; the typical (median) resident's is 21. The citywide figure (31) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Burke, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5084.0%
  • 50–10010.5%
  • 100–2005.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm32
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm32
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am27
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.8% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.8%VA -8.5%-12.7%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-11.4%VA -5.2%-4.1%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-17.3%VA -9.0%-13.6%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-15.9%VA -5.3%-4.2%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Burke against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

909 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Burke; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Leesburg, FL45,187111
Manassas, VA44,94186
Woburn, MA44,97459
Burke, VA44,99731
Danville, CA45,05330

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Burke has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, West Springfield (2 mi), is 23% above Burke's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Burke

What are the most common crimes in Burke?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 79 a year), shoplifting (about 69 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 47 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 47% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Burke's figures add up its 24 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Burke's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 5.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 44,997. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Burke, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/burke

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100