CrimeMetric

Crime in North Springfield, Virginia

Major crime in North Springfield is 71% below the U.S. rate per resident: 76% lower for persons crimes and 69% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 17.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
29
71% below the U.S. rate
65% below the Virginia rate
down 17.9% in a year
Persons crimes
24
76% below the U.S. rate
63% below the Virginia rate
down 11.7% in a year
Property crimes
31
69% below the U.S. rate
66% below the Virginia rate
down 18.9% in a year
Social disorder
37
63% below the U.S. rate
61% below the Virginia rate
down 15.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in North Springfield

Crime by type

Every crime type in North Springfield is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in North Springfield for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across North Springfield

The middle half of North Springfield residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 19 and 27; the typical (median) resident's is 19. The citywide figure (29) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of North Springfield, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5083.6%
  • 50–10016.4%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm28
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am33
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm26
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 17.9% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-17.9%VA -8.5%-11.0%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-11.7%VA -5.2%-4.2%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-18.9%VA -9.0%-12.2%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-15.9%VA -5.3%-4.4%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

North Springfield against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,917 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than North Springfield; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Pratt, KS7,26058
North Springfield, VA7,25229

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

North Springfield has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Annandale (2 mi), is 2.4 times North Springfield's rate.

Lincolnia3 mi104
Annandale2 mi71
Woodburn4 mi56
Franconia3 mi51
Burke4 mi31
North Springfield29
Wakefield3 mi20

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in North Springfield

What are the most common crimes in North Springfield?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 13 a year), theft from vehicle (about 10 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 4 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 39% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. North Springfield's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • North Springfield's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 16.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 7,252. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in North Springfield, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/north-springfield

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100