CrimeMetric

Crime in Sudley, Virginia

Major crime in Sudley is 6% below the U.S. rate per resident: 5% higher for persons crimes and 8% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 17.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
94
6% below the U.S. rate
11% above the Virginia rate
down 17.5% in a year
Persons crimes
105
5% above the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Virginia rate
down 1.4% in a year
Property crimes
92
8% below the U.S. rate
about the Virginia rate
down 20.8% in a year
Social disorder
89
11% below the U.S. rate
about the Virginia rate
down 9.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Sudley

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Sudley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Sudley

The middle half of Sudley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 30 and 157; the typical (median) resident's is 106.

Map of Sudley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5048.9%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20051.1%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm88
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am101
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm93
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am101
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 17.5% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-17.5%VA -8.5%-9.0%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-1.4%VA -5.2%-2.8%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-20.8%VA -9.0%-10.5%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-9.3%VA -5.3%-2.6%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Sudley against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

760 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Sudley; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Ferndale, MI19,451112
Sudley, VA19,44294
Maumelle, AR19,44572
Bostonia, CA19,42455
Redland, MD19,43354

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Sudley has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Loch Lomond (1 mi), is 48% below Sudley's rate.

Bull Run2 mi177
Yorkshire3 mi112
Sudley94
Manassas3 mi86
Buckhall5 mi46
Bull Run4 mi24

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Sudley

What are the most common crimes in Sudley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 125 a year), theft from vehicle (about 48 a year) and aggravated assault (about 43 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Sudley's figures add up its 11 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Sudley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 76.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 19,442. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Sudley, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/sudley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100