CrimeMetric

Crime in Buckeye, Arizona

Major crime in Buckeye is 52% below the U.S. rate per resident: 44% lower for persons crimes and 53% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
49
52% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Arizona rate
down 9.5% in a year
Persons crimes
56
44% below the U.S. rate
55% below the Arizona rate
up 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
47
53% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Arizona rate
down 12.8% in a year
Social disorder
65
35% below the U.S. rate
44% below the Arizona rate
down 5.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Buckeye

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 47% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Buckeye for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Buckeye

The middle half of Buckeye residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 25 and 51; the typical (median) resident's is 31. The citywide figure (49) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Buckeye, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5071.5%
  • 50–10019.4%
  • 100–2006.6%
  • 200–4002.6%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm42
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am61
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm38
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.5% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.5%AZ -3.2%+0.2%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes+5.5%AZ +2.1%+14.6%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-12.8%AZ -4.5%-3.6%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-5.5%AZ -0.6%+6.5%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Buckeye against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

248 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Buckeye; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Lafayette, LA123,774258
Topeka, KS124,626221
Cambridge, MA123,152185
Hartford, CT122,877131
Fairfield, CA124,860125
Ann Arbor, MI124,073120
Menifee, CA125,08963
Elgin, IL123,83057
Buckeye, AZ124,03849

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Buckeye has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Goodyear (9 mi), is 1.6 times Buckeye's rate.

Tolleson17 mi261
Avondale14 mi121
El Mirage18 mi82
Goodyear9 mi77
Youngtown18 mi75
Surprise16 mi51
Buckeye49

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Buckeye

What are the most common crimes in Buckeye?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 395 a year), aggravated assault (about 145 a year) and shoplifting (about 136 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 47% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Buckeye's figures add up its 42 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Buckeye has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 32.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 124,038. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Buckeye, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/buckeye

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100