CrimeMetric

Crime in Paradise Valley, Arizona

Major crime in Paradise Valley is 59% below the U.S. rate per resident: 77% lower for persons crimes and 55% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
41
59% below the U.S. rate
61% below the Arizona rate
down 8.1% in a year
Persons crimes
23
77% below the U.S. rate
81% below the Arizona rate
down 5.0% in a year
Property crimes
45
55% below the U.S. rate
56% below the Arizona rate
down 8.5% in a year
Social disorder
23
77% below the U.S. rate
80% below the Arizona rate
down 6.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Paradise Valley

Crime by type

Every crime type in Paradise Valley is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Paradise Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Paradise Valley

The middle half of Paradise Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 28 and 41; the typical (median) resident's is 37.

Map of Paradise Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5090.2%
  • 50–1006.0%
  • 100–2003.8%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm43
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am35
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm50
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am42
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.1% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.1%AZ -3.2%-18.0%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes-5.0%AZ +2.1%-3.6%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-8.5%AZ -4.5%-19.6%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-6.1%AZ -0.6%-9.8%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Paradise Valley against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,699 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Paradise Valley; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Ontario, OR12,731219
Cambridge, MD12,730197
Las Vegas, NM12,695135
Paradise Valley, AZ12,71341
Bedford, OH12,71638

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Paradise Valley has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Scottsdale (5 mi), is 2.6 times Paradise Valley's rate.

Tolleson18 mi261
Tempe11 mi202
Phoenix8 mi153
Glendale14 mi143
Guadalupe12 mi110
Scottsdale5 mi107
Mesa16 mi83
Paradise Valley41

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Paradise Valley

What are the most common crimes in Paradise Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 53 a year), burglary (about 13 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 9 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 17% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Paradise Valley's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Paradise Valley's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 12,713. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Paradise Valley, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/paradise-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100