CrimeMetric

Crime in Tempe, Arizona

Major crime in Tempe is 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident: 43% higher for persons crimes and 2.2 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 4.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
202
2.0 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the Arizona rate
up 4.8% in a year
Persons crimes
143
43% above the U.S. rate
15% above the Arizona rate
up 1.0% in a year
Property crimes
215
2.2 times the U.S. rate
2.1 times the Arizona rate
up 5.3% in a year
Social disorder
174
1.7 times the U.S. rate
50% above the Arizona rate
up 3.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Tempe for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery137112
Murder1097

Property crimes

Shoplifting2601,582
Burglary132414

How crime varies across Tempe

The middle half of Tempe residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 71 and 196; the typical (median) resident's is 128. The citywide figure (202) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Tempe, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5011.7%
  • 50–10028.3%
  • 100–20036.0%
  • 200–40016.5%
  • 400+7.5%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm196
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am195
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm216
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am223
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 4.8% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+4.8%AZ -3.2%-11.2%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes+1.0%AZ +2.1%0.0%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes+5.3%AZ -4.5%-12.8%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder+3.0%AZ -0.6%-4.1%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Tempe against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

28 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Tempe; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Paradise, NV194,052319
Birmingham, AL193,767315
Tempe, AZ191,152202
Akron, OH189,548185
Salem, OR189,426113
Ontario, CA188,54497
Elk Grove, CA187,71883

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Tempe has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Guadalupe (3 mi), is 46% below Tempe's rate.

Tempe202
Phoenix13 mi153
Guadalupe3 mi110
Scottsdale14 mi107
Mesa11 mi83
Chandler9 mi72
Gilbert12 mi57
Sun Lakes13 mi31

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Tempe

What are the most common crimes in Tempe?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 2,408 a year), shoplifting (about 1,582 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 1,017 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Tempe's figures add up its 118 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Tempe's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 61.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 191,152. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Tempe, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/tempe

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100