CrimeMetric

Crime in Aurora, Colorado

Major crime in Aurora is 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.2 times for persons crimes and 1.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
166
1.7 times the U.S. rate
19% above the Colorado rate
down 9.0% in a year
Persons crimes
217
2.2 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the Colorado rate
down 10.7% in a year
Property crimes
155
1.6 times the U.S. rate
8% above the Colorado rate
down 8.5% in a year
Social disorder
107
7% above the U.S. rate
11% above the Colorado rate
down 9.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 2.3 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Aurora for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery195343
Murder14321

Property crimes

Shoplifting1642,142
Burglary110738

How crime varies across Aurora

The middle half of Aurora residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 55 and 200; the typical (median) resident's is 112. The citywide figure (166) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Aurora, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5024.2%
  • 50–10022.4%
  • 100–20028.6%
  • 200–40020.2%
  • 400+4.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm161
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am172
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm166
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am169
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.0% in a year; across Colorado it fell 9.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.0%CO -9.1%-7.6%CO -11.0%
Persons crimes-10.7%CO -9.3%+1.6%CO +0.8%
Property crimes-8.5%CO -9.1%-10.5%CO -13.3%
Social disorder-9.9%CO -9.3%-3.7%CO -6.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Colorado as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Aurora against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents

20 of the 53 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Aurora; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:

Minneapolis, MN432,807361
Oakland, CA443,222361
Wichita, KS406,088274
Tulsa, OK419,432224
Long Beach, CA447,681178
Aurora, CO410,284166
Bakersfield, CA419,241165
Arlington, TX409,726120
Tampa, FL413,78566

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Aurora has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Four Square Mile (5 mi), is 16% below Aurora's rate.

Glendale7 mi954
Denver9 mi273
Aurora166
Stonegate10 mi38

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Aurora

What are the most common crimes in Aurora?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 2,388 a year), theft from vehicle (about 2,378 a year) and aggravated assault (about 2,170 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 2.3 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Aurora's figures add up its 242 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Aurora's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 69.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 410,284. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Aurora, Colorado." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/co/aurora

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100