CrimeMetric

Crime in Arlington, Texas

Major crime in Arlington is 20% above the U.S. rate per resident: 7% higher for persons crimes and 23% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
120
20% above the U.S. rate
7% above the Texas rate
down 15.6% in a year
Persons crimes
107
7% above the U.S. rate
6% above the Texas rate
down 18.0% in a year
Property crimes
123
23% above the U.S. rate
7% above the Texas rate
down 15.2% in a year
Social disorder
122
22% above the U.S. rate
14% above the Texas rate
down 17.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 1.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Arlington for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery84147
Murder8212

Property crimes

Shoplifting1231,598

How crime varies across Arlington

The middle half of Arlington residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 46 and 130; the typical (median) resident's is 76. The citywide figure (120) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Arlington, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5027.5%
  • 50–10034.6%
  • 100–20027.1%
  • 200–4007.3%
  • 400+3.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm112
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am127
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm118
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am129
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.6% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.6%TX -9.2%-11.7%TX -8.6%
Persons crimes-18.0%TX -8.9%-0.4%TX +2.5%
Property crimes-15.2%TX -9.3%-13.8%TX -10.7%
Social disorder-17.6%TX -7.7%-6.1%TX -2.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Arlington against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents

36 of the 53 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Arlington; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:

Minneapolis, MN432,807361
Oakland, CA443,222361
Wichita, KS406,088274
Tulsa, OK419,432224
Long Beach, CA447,681178
Aurora, CO410,284166
Bakersfield, CA419,241165
Arlington, TX409,726120
Tampa, FL413,78566

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Arlington has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Grand Prairie (6 mi), is 30% below Arlington's rate.

Arlington120
Hurst10 mi98
Bedford10 mi77
Mansfield8 mi67
Kennedale7 mi54
Rendon10 mi49

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Arlington

What are the most common crimes in Arlington?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 2,628 a year), shoplifting (about 1,598 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 1,536 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Arlington's figures add up its 244 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Arlington's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 55.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 409,726. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Arlington, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/arlington

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100