CrimeMetric

Crime in Alexandria, Virginia

Major crime in Alexandria is 15% below the U.S. rate per resident: 53% lower for persons crimes and 7% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
85
15% below the U.S. rate
about the Virginia rate
down 18.9% in a year
Persons crimes
47
53% below the U.S. rate
26% below the Virginia rate
down 1.6% in a year
Property crimes
93
7% below the U.S. rate
about the Virginia rate
down 20.5% in a year
Social disorder
72
28% below the U.S. rate
23% below the Virginia rate
down 6.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 1.7 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Alexandria for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Alexandria

The middle half of Alexandria residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 33 and 94; the typical (median) resident's is 52. The citywide figure (85) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Alexandria, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5047.7%
  • 50–10029.4%
  • 100–20016.5%
  • 200–4005.2%
  • 400+1.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Lowest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm86
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am85
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm88
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am76
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 18.9% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-18.9%VA -8.5%-13.0%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-1.6%VA -5.2%-8.7%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-20.5%VA -9.0%-13.5%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-6.6%VA -5.3%-4.3%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Alexandria against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

187 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Alexandria; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Springfield, MO167,446272
Kansas City, KS159,801202
Paterson, NJ163,911159
Killeen, TX161,150119
Palmdale, CA162,226118
Corona, CA165,63790
Alexandria, VA163,45185
Hollywood, FL161,46979
Roseville, CA166,38465

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Alexandria has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Huntington (2 mi), is 16% below Alexandria's rate.

Groveton4 mi143
Arlington4 mi109
Lincolnia3 mi104
Alexandria85
Rose Hill2 mi42

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Alexandria

What are the most common crimes in Alexandria?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 907 a year), other larceny (about 611 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 351 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Alexandria's figures add up its 134 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Alexandria's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 18.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 163,451. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Alexandria, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/alexandria

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100