Crime in Herndon, Virginia
Major crime in Herndon is 17% below the U.S. rate per resident: 21% lower for persons crimes and 16% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.7% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Vandalism stands out most, at 26% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Herndon for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Herndon
The middle half of Herndon residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 58 and 115; the typical (median) resident's is 73.
- 0–5022.9%
- 50–10047.1%
- 100–20030.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest at night
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.7% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Herndon against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
443 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Herndon; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Herndon has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Dranesville (2 mi), is 74% below Herndon's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Herndon
What are the most common crimes in Herndon?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 99 a year), other larceny (about 97 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 80 a year). Compared with the U.S., vandalism stands out most: 26% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Herndon's figures add up its 15 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Herndon has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 58.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 26,226. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Herndon, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/herndon
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Dranesville2 mi22
- McNair2 mi65
- Sterling2 mi34
- Reston3 mi80
- Floris3 mi39
- Franklin Farm4 mi31
- Dulles Town Center4 mi162
- Sugarland Run4 mi23