CrimeMetric

Crime in Sugarland Run, Virginia

Major crime in Sugarland Run is 77% below the U.S. rate per resident: 70% lower for persons crimes and 79% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 14.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
23
77% below the U.S. rate
73% below the Virginia rate
down 14.7% in a year
Persons crimes
30
70% below the U.S. rate
53% below the Virginia rate
up 8.5% in a year
Property crimes
22
79% below the U.S. rate
76% below the Virginia rate
down 20.1% in a year
Social disorder
49
51% below the U.S. rate
48% below the Virginia rate
up 1.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Sugarland Run

Crime by type

Every crime type in Sugarland Run is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Sugarland Run for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Sugarland Run

The middle half of Sugarland Run residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 20 and 31; the typical (median) resident's is 22.

Map of Sugarland Run, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm17
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am32
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm17
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am28
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 14.7% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-14.7%VA -8.5%-5.2%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes+8.5%VA -5.2%+3.3%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-20.1%VA -9.0%-7.8%VA -14.1%
Social disorder+1.2%VA -5.3%-0.8%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Sugarland Run against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,088 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Sugarland Run; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Ontario, OR12,731219
Cambridge, MD12,730197
Bedford, OH12,71638
Sugarland Run, VA12,73123

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Sugarland Run has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Cascades (1 mi), is 2.7 times Sugarland Run's rate.

Herndon4 mi83
Cascades1 mi62
Ashburn6 mi39
Sterling2 mi34
Sugarland Run23

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Sugarland Run

What are the most common crimes in Sugarland Run?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 15 a year), shoplifting (about 9 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 8 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 22% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Sugarland Run's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Sugarland Run's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 35.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 12,731. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Sugarland Run, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/sugarland-run

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100