Crime in Dranesville, Virginia
Major crime in Dranesville is 78% below the U.S. rate per resident: 88% lower for persons crimes and 76% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.0% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Every crime type in Dranesville is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Dranesville for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Dranesville
The middle half of Dranesville residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 20 and 21; the typical (median) resident's is 21.
- 0–5095.4%
- 50–1004.6%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekdays, day and night
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 16.0% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Dranesville against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
2,101 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Dranesville; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Dranesville has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Sterling (2 mi), is 1.5 times Dranesville's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Dranesville
What are the most common crimes in Dranesville?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 21 a year), theft from vehicle (about 12 a year) and shoplifting (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 58% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Dranesville's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Dranesville's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 12,840. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Dranesville, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/dranesville
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Sterling2 mi34
- Herndon2 mi83
- Sugarland Run3 mi23
- Reston3 mi80
- Dulles Town Center3 mi162
- McNair3 mi65
- Great Falls4 mi42
- Cascades4 mi62